We are very close to crossing the line to a Debt Based Spiral

The Bond market, globally, is about four times larger than the global equity Markets. What happens in the debt impacts the equity markets.

The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates in 2024 however the interest rates on US Ten-year Treasuries have risen. This increase in “market rates” is influencing the strength of the US Dollar. It is causing the US Dollar to rise. The majority of debt globally is priced in the US Dollar. Debt outside the USA, priced in US$ must be paid in US$ so there is a scrabble to gather US$s. Local currencies outside the USA fall as the US$ rises, so the cost to service debt rises when priced in local currencies. The scramble for US$ by debtors outside the USA pushes the US$ higher as seen in the chart below. The October 2024 to present time period is referenced. Continue reading →

• Account I – Single stock account. This simply means we might go down to one single stock position on our path to compounding to One Million$ value. Currently the account has four positions. The timeline goal is one double a year for the account.
• Account II – ZTA – Multi-position focused Portfolio Account

I: Make a Million$ Club (M&M Club)

Goal: Achieve 11 doubles, at a rate of one per year to build the account above $1 million dollars after tax.
Starting Date: July 22, 2022
Starting Amount: $1,000 with no money added. For your personal account, contributions to the account will increase the rate of compounding. We are big fans of dollar-cost-averaging – even if trading. Catching a long-term trends is how we go about creating wealth.  
Perspective: The mental perspective for this account, the money at risk is what you have contributed. The rest is score keeping in the Game of Doubling. Patrick Ben-David provides the game outline – LOTM provides the ideas for the double. Our LOTM goal is to profile for Companies/Stocks that are in position to double in price within a one year time-line. Getting you to trust the process is one of our goals. Many times we buy when the market has hate, fear or apathy towards our ideas. Ride the trend as long as you can is our by line.

Continue reading →

• Preparatory Actions supporting the view that a new monetary system is close to being introduced.
• Three separate interviews suggesting a change of rules is about to happen with the incoming Administration.

LOTM has accepted the position as stated below:

“We believe we are experiencing a once-in-a-generation global shift in the market from fiat money controlled by government central banks to network-based money, more commonly called ‘cryptocurrency,’ with this transition still in the early stages.” Continue reading →

Early in my brokerage career (1977) I literally sat ten feet from a 68-year old broker, who, on news that a company he knew well, declared bankruptcy. He immediately liquidated everything he owned (which amounted to around $4 million dollars) and bought the stock and bonds of the bankrupt company. His logic in doing so was the railroad which he was buying into was a company he knew well and had traded for 30 years. The $3.00 stock and nickel on the dollar priced bonds he bought, had in his estimation, $150 per share in land value. Bankruptcy would free up the land value. Three-years later, his $4 million was many multiples higher. The company did not liquidate but because of the land value, reorganized. The $3.00 stock was trading at $150 per share and the bonds returned to full value and he was owed the back interest on the bonds. As 27 year-old new broker, it made an impression on me. That is how you make money in the market. Know your company. Trade the stock so you are ready for anything! It’s not a perfect world, however. You will still lose money on some deals. But over time … you will do well and occasionally get very “lucky.”

Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to us all! It is going to be a wild ride in 2025 so buckle up. Continue reading →

In this LOTM Note:

• Information on what is driving Bitcoin’s Price.
• Why select Miners are being bought and other are being sold short
• What in might meat for other Alt-coins.

I have attached a 16 minute video that describes what is helping drive the price of bitcoin. Of course it is not as simple as price go up. There are games and strategies being put on by large players (Hedge funds) what involve Convertible bonds the shorting to hedge or arbitrage those convertible bonds – who benefits and who is held back by these strategies. Instead of writing it is best to just listen to the sixteen minute video. Speed up the presentation if you are short on time.

Please see this video it you are involved in crypto or Bitcoin miners. It is not all bad or all good. It is important for you to know what is playing Continue reading →

Doomberg Post Election Update.
What’s the REAL Election Impact on Our Future? w/ Doomberg published Thursday November 7, 2024
Major Themes – End of Climate Change, Pro-Made in America, Bad for Pharma & Solar, Deregulation trend strong, Trump is an Inflationary force – Inflation hedges should do well. US$ should weaken over time. Economic war with China ok but Trump does not want Kinetic war with China. Trump bullish on Nuclear power. Hardest thing to do in Washinton is fire a government employee so difficult to streamline government. 57 minutes.

Tom Lee on CNBC
Small caps could outperform by more than 100% in the next few years, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, published Friday, November 8, 2024. Lee: Respect this move. Lee’s targets S&P 500 – $6700. Bitcoin – six figures by year-end possible in 2024 with 2025 & $150,000 being possible. Small-caps outperform Large-caps by 100% over the next two to three years. Tom Lee is one of the current Continue reading →

Why Bitcoin, Crypto & Blockchain?

• In the last 13 years, the Bitcoin index (in EUR) had a compound annual growth rate of 103.42%,

Shared in this report are Ten crypto/blockchain ETFs. Each has a different objective and investment profile. Some are passively managed, and some are actively managed. Some are concentrated and focused and some modeled after specific indexes. The focuses cross through blockchain applications, AI data centers, crypto miners and crypto surrogates.

The performance range for the last twelve-months, ranges from a low of plus 54% to a high of plus 123%. Multiple ETFs in this sector were above 100% annual return. This industry is still in its early stage of application and growth. It is volatile so expect wide price moves. One can use a trading strategy or an investment approach. If choosing the investment approach with a long-term capital gain holding period goal, applying dollar-cost averaging for risk management is a way to level the volatility and still capitalize on the above average growth of Crypto and Blockchain. Continue reading →

BRICS Nations To Adopt Bitcoin For Global Trade: VanEck Exec

LOTM: It is hard to know if this is RUMOR or Advanced Intel.

In an appearance on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at investment firm VanEck, forecasted a significant shift in global trade dynamics with the potential adoption of Bitcoin by BRICS nations. Sigel’s insights come amid growing fiscal policy concerns in the United States and increasing efforts by emerging economies to circumvent traditional financial systems.

“We think once the election result is finalized, Moody’s is going to downgrade US sovereign debt, and that could be a catalyst for Bitcoin,” Sigel stated. He emphasized BTC’s unique properties, noting, “Bitcoin is a chameleon. It’s hard to predict what it’s correlated with. Because of the 21 million and fixed amount out there, it’s a non-US asset.” Continue reading →