Energy Is life and your living standard depends on how much you waste. This is LOTM’s investment theme for the next three to eight years.

How much right do world government have to decide who uses how much energy? This is a question we need to address from our general population perspective.

We have a management group who consumes a very high degree of energy in private jets, large (I mean large) homes and consume other forms of energy we can only dream of using. This group is telling us there are too many people on the planet, single family homes are a privilege of the past and we cannot sustain the world growth rate we have today, and we must reduce consumption and choose where this energy for consumption comes from. The group is the World Economic Forum (WEF). Left Continue reading →

• On the popular 4 hour chart pattern for Bitcoin, Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped below its 50-unit moving average.
• Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) has also fallen below its daily 50-day moving average as well. This suggests a intermediate-term (one to three month) pause or correction. Click here to see the discount to NAV for Grayscale BTC Trust to BTC itself. Today, the GBTC discount to net asset value is 42% of NAV.

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We have gone four-weeks with our sample-example of why one can buy into year -end tax selling as a regular practice. This is the last data point on this we will publish. Whatever your thoughts on the market, we feel we have shown that buying into tax loss selling periods is a repeatable annual event. Do your tax loss selling early in the season and have cash available for buying into tax loss selling. At LOTM we put this in the category of “Position Management” combined with “Tax Management” of positions and Trading Opportunities.

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• A Potential Trade in Biotech/Genomics
• a Potential Investment in Genomics.
• Reason for the Current Rally and when it will end.
• Small-Cap and Micro-caps will outperform the FANGS for years.
• Long-term money flows into to anything Physical

As a potential “trade”  – You might look at LABU as a short term trade. It sure seems to me that this is going to pop next week. Technically it is nicely set-up with the share price of LABU above its rising 20-day, above the 50-day and above the 150-day moving average with the price of LABU above both. Money seems to be coming into Genomic stocks individually. This is levered three times so be careful. Continue reading →

• Energy is the topic and Oil and Gas is still the Big Dog in Energy.
• EQT Corp (EQT) is a leader in Natural Gas with large cash flows for Dividends and share buy-backs
• Vermilion Energy (VET) an International company with operations in the North Sea and Eastern Europe. Company is paying down debt, raising dividends and buying back stock.
• Selling in the price today in EQT & VET, Feb 1, looks like a good entry for a short-term trade.

EQT Corp (EQT)

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• Chinese trade domination
• Chinese technology advancement
• Bi-polar Global Currency Developing
• Investment areas to position in to take advantage of this long term trend.

Bi-polar Global Currency & Supply Chain Developing

The two maps below illustrate the change in global trade from 2000 to 2020. Dynamics have change with China reversing Financial and Trade importance on the global stage from the United States. Countries such as Germany and Saudi Arabia, traditionally allies to the USA, have shifted to moving towards China in trade and financial relationships.

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• What is the Cumulative Advance/Decline Line saying?
• New HIGH/LOW Ratio says yes, The Bear is in the Past.
• Potential opportunity in the coming months: Two ideas, one conservative and one speculative.

What is the Cumulative Advance/Decline Line saying?

Declaring the Bear is dead is a dangerous thing to do. Let’s define what we are looking at and you decide for yourself if it makes sense to you.

If the majority of stocks are falling in price, we can logically say we are in a bear market. If we accept that, we can then say if the majority of stocks are rising in price, then we are not in a bear market. Price above moving averages and shorter moving averages, above longer moving averages, are measures used in Trend analysis.

To check this feature, let’s look at the weekly advance/decline line for the NYSE at StockCharts.com Continue reading →

Purpose:
Demonstrate that buying when the majority are tax loss selling is an annual, profitable and repeatable event.

Goal:
Illustrate that 25% plus profit can be made in a 60-day selling target zone.
Trade a grouping of tax loss ideas rather choosing one or two stocks. It is the statical edge presented from tax-loss selling season that you are after, not a rife-shot on one or two names.

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